Ever run across a fact or an idea and know that
it has some kind of Alternate History potential but you’re not quite
sure what to do with it? Here are a few facts or ideas that I’m going
to do something with, but I haven’t figured out quite what yet.
1. While Romans apparently never conquered
Ireland, there is some evidence from archeology and legend that a
Romanized warrior and his followers established a heavily
Roman-influenced colony there. I wonder what would have happened if
that colony had survived as a kind of remnant of Roman culture in
Ireland.
2. Indians along the coast of Ecuador had large
ocean-going balsa rafts
capable or carrying 60 to 70 tons of cargo by the time Europeans
arrived. They got as far out in the ocean as the Galapagos islands and
as far north as Western Mexico. The contacts with Western Mexico go
back well over a thousand years and probably brought copper and gold
metallurgy from Peru to MesoAmerica. Trade was sporadic between 400 BC
and 400 AD. There were peaks around 800, 1200, 1300, and apparently
sometime not long before 1600. That last date would have been after the
Spaniards had occupied the bulk of Ecuador and quite a bit of Western
Mexico. I did the Chimu MesoAmerican divergence a while back, but I
also wonder what might have
happened if the contacts had been more extensive in the earlier going.
Llamas in Western Mexico starting around 400 BC would
have led to unimaginable changes, probably including nomadic llama
herders ranging as far as the American southwest and
maybe even California and the Great Plains. It’s also more likely than
my Llamas in Appalachia scenario, which does some of the same things in
a different way.
3. France was on the verge of putting a hollow
charge anti-tank rifle
grenade into production when it fell in 1940. They actually did
secretly produce several tens of thousands of them under Vichy. A
couple of possibilities: First, they get them into production in time
for the big show in May 1940. Second, they get caught producing them
under Vichy sometime around late October 1942, which precipitates a
German invasion and a Vichy call for Allied help. Neither of those is
all that likely, but I’ll keep working the ideas around.
4. Around a hundred million years ago, India and
possibly Madagascar
broke loose from the other southern continents. India eventually headed
north and crashed into Asia sometime after 60 million years ago. The
huge Indian volcanic eruptions of around 66 million years ago, plus the
impact that killed the dinosaurs presumably killed off any dinosaurs
and/or primitive mammals on the Indian subcontinent (if that would
still be the proper name before it crashed into Asia). However, that
would mean that for at least 35 million years India’s dinosaurs and
primitive mammals would have developed independently, sort of like
Australia’s marsupials. Does anyone know of any mammal or dinosaur
fossils from that 35 million year period?
It would be fascinating to find out how dinosaurs and very primitive
mammals developed on an isolated large island or small
continent. There is also considerable AH potential here. If India
hadn’t headed north, or had done so more slowly it might
still be kind of a more primitive version of Australia, or with the
right placement it might even have surviving dinosaurs.
Of course there probably wouldn’t be people around to observe those
animals, unless they came over from an alternate time-line.
5. From looking at simulations of future
continental drift, it looks
like most of Antarctica will eventually head north. After several tens
of millions of years it will crash into the rest of the continents,
which will apparently have formed another super-continent by then.
Okay. Antarctica moves north. The icecaps melt. The few surviving
plants (either two or
four species of flowering plants if I recall correctly) gradually
spread across the landscape, joined by other plants brought
in by birds. You’ve got four or five million square miles of land mass
with almost no native land animals, and no way for
land animals to get there for tens of millions of years. Nature will
fill that vacuum, but with what?
6. If the simulations I’ve seen are accurate, the
connection between
North and South America came about as a result of North
America pivoting counter-clockwise so that Central America moved in a
southeastern direction. What is now Panama was apparently an island or
group of islands that ran into the two continents from the Pacific side
to form the last part of the bridge between the continents. I wonder
what changing the timing of the pivot or of the island passing through
the area might have done. Another West Indies island and no land
connection between the continents? An earlier land connection between
the continents? The land connection probably triggered or played a role
in the ice ages by moving ocean circulation
to the poles. Either no connection or an earlier connection would have
almost certainly meant no humans as we know them. If the connection
between the two continents happened in the Miocene rather than several
million years earlier, would it
trigger ice ages then too? Would anything like humans emerge?
7. Not a fact, just a kind of random thought: AH
challenge--what would
it take in the way of a POD to put something like Piltdown man in
England at the time it was supposedly there? That’s a tough one because
whoever put the fraud together took a human skull and added an
orangutan jaw with some teeth filed down. So the bottom line is: what
would it take to get a side-branch of humanity with a close-to-modern
brain and ape-like teeth into England a few hundred thousand years ago?
8. What would the implications be if the Straits
of Gibraltar were
shallow enough that they became dry land during ice ages,
then went back underwater as sea levels rose after the ice ages?
Presumably the Mediterranean Sea would start to dry up when
the ocean connection was cut. I’m not sure if the coldest parts of the
ice ages would have been long enough for it to have
dried up completely. I’m visualizing two smaller, extremely salty lakes
remaining by the end of a typical ice age, with an
area of dry land connecting Europe and Africa below the toe of the
Italian peninsula.. That would allow animals and early
men to get back and forth between those continents a littler more
easily. If the corridors included forested areas, you
might find European primates simply moving south during ice ages and
moving back as far north as parts of Italy and Spain
during the interglacials, assuming that the corridor opened and closed
at the same time. At the end of each cold part of the ice age, the
ocean would rise enough to overflow into the Mediterranean again.
Animals and early men would be trapped on
the Mediterranean Islands until the next glacial maximum, developing in
isolation and going their own way genetically and culturally.
9. That brings up another interesting point:
Presumably various islands
of the Mediterranean became attached to the mainland during glacial
maximums and then became islands again during the interglacials. Humans
were apparently in Europe for at least 800,000 years. That would have
given them time to be isolated on the various Mediterranean islands
such a Sicily multiple times, probably for tens of thousands of years
at a time. I wonder what happened to them during that time of
isolation. Have any Neanderthal fossils turned up from Sicily during
the last couple of interglacials? That would be very
interesting in terms of discovering how isolated groups of men diverge
over periods of tens of thousands of years, assuming that any of the
interglacials lasted that long. The same sort of thing would easily
have happened groups of early humans trapped in what is now Indonesia,
or islands like Taiwan or the southern Japanese islands.
10. What if the Czech army had fought when the
Germans went in to take over the rump of Czechoslovakia in March 1939?
Hitler
wins, but he doesn’t get the entire Czech arsenal virtually intact.
Part of the army might even retreat into Poland to be interned, which
would mean that a part of the Czech arsenal ended up in Polish hands.
The Czech tanks and airplanes wouldn’t
be of much use for long without spare parts, but Czech cannons and
small arms would help out the Poles quite nicely. Just
as importantly, they wouldn’t be available to the Germans, which would
slow down the growth of the German military considerably. From possibly
faulty memory, the Czechs had something like 30 well-equipped
divisions, with around 5000 artillery pieces. Most of that Czech
material went to equip German divisions, including several hundred
tanks. If the Poles ended up with a couple thousand of those cannon and
much of the small arms, they would have presumably have been in much
better position to fight the Germans in September 1939. They probably
would have still lost, but it would have been a harder fought battle.