Alternate History
Islands From A to Z.
Brainstorming ideas that range
throughout history and across the planet.
Scenario Seeds=World War
II
Lots of mini-scenarios related
to World War II.
Scenario
Seeds- Other
Brainstorming ideas that may become
scenarios in a couple of issues.
Best of the Comment Section
POD is an amateur press
magazine and also a forum for discussing AH and AH-related
ideas. A lot of the comments don't make sense unless you've
following the dialogue. Here are some of my general-interest
ones.
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As I mentioned earlier,
I’m going to do a little brainstorming session here.
I’m going to try to figure out an alternate history scenario
seed involving an island for each letter of the alphabet. This is
intended in fun, but I find it’s actually a good way to come
up with ideas that I can actually turn into reasonable scenarios. Why
islands? Well, a lot of key events have occurred in islands, and
islands have often been natural laboratories for odd groupings of
animals (Madagascar and New Zealand for example.)
The rules:
- The island has
to play a key role in the scenario.
- Only the
scenario name has to relate to the letter of the alphabet,
not necessarily the island name (extra points if the island name does
correspond to the letter I am trying for though)
- The scenario can involve
any period from the era of the dinosaurs or
before to the end of World War II. (I don’t do modern AH
because I think it inevitably becomes too political for my tastes.)
- Extra points
for Alliterations of the letter. For example:
“Cut-off Creodonts of Island California” is cool.
- Extra points if
the scenario title sounds like the title of a bad
pulp story. For example, “Subhuman Slave Soldiers of
Sardinia” gets extra points as an alliteration and as a
potential bad pulp story title.
- A lot of extra points if
I actually come up with a reasonable and
developable scenario out of this.
- Extra points for multiple
scenario seeds for a letter.
- If a scenario has a lot
of potential I’ll move it out to
its own section, but it still counts.
The Seeds:
- Japanese
don’t attack
the Aleutians
during World War II. The Aleutians attack was a Japanese
feint to
draw US forces away from
Midway. It didn’t work in the short term because the US read
Japanese codes and concentrated on Midway. In the longer term, the
Japanese did reap some benefit from occupying the Aleutians, because
the US did a major buildup to take back a couple of island that the
Japanese occupied. What would have happened if the Japanese had the
forces that they sent to the Aleutians at Midway? What would have
happened if the US had been able to deploy the resources they put into
the Aleutians somewhere else?
- Andaman Islands
larger. The Andaman Islands are off the coast of
India. They are ‘oceanic’ islands, which among
other things means that they don’t connect with any continent
during ice ages. There are fairly large areas of shallow water around
the Andamans, and they could have been substantially larger given
relatively minor changes in the sea level. The Andamans have been
inhabited by humans for a long time—no one is quite sure how
long, and Andaman Island natives are one of the last groups of humans
to remain in a technologically primitive existence. Making the islands
larger would give the natives more room to develop their own
distinctive cultures. I can’t think of anything
earth-shattering that would come of that to be honest. Can you?
- Higher
Bahamas.
If you look at a map of the ocean bottom around the
Bahamas, you realize that during ice ages the Bahamas are probably one
rather large island, around the size of Cuba. Let’s say that
the Bahamas get uplifted slightly toward the end of the last ice age.
Assuming that nothing else changes (a pretty major assumption), when
the Spanish arrived in the West Indies they would find another large
island to exploit, presumably after they conquered Cuba. What effect
would that have on the chronology of Spanish conquests? Would they
conquer the Bahamas first and then go on to the Aztecs, or would they
conquer the Aztecs first? If they went after the Aztecs first, chances
are that they would never establish firm control over the Bahamas,
because compared to the riches of the mainland the West Indies quickly
became a backwater. If another European power (Holland, France,
England) controlled this enlarged island, they could do a lot of damage
to Spanish treasure fleets. What are some other implications? What kind
of animal life would the enlarged island have? Would it be a refuge for
animals that became extinct in the mainland of North America?
Creodonts? The extinct North American primates? Where would the Indians
that settled there have come from? Cuba? Florida? Both?
- Mussolini
bargains
for bases
in the Balerics.
Italy played a major
role in the Spanish Civil War (1936-1939). Italian help was essential
to the Spanish Nationalists, but the Italians really didn’t
get much other than prestige for their efforts. Let’s say
that they bargain a little harder with the Spanish Nationalists and end
up with air and naval bases in the Baleric Islands south of France.
What impact would that have on the course of World War II? How would
the Spanish react when Italy entered World War II? Would the bases be
used? If yes, how would the British react?
- Cretans crush German conquest air convoy.
The battle for Crete in
early 1941 was actually one of the closest run significant battles in
World War II. It genuinely could have gone either way based on the
actions of battalion commanders and even small groups of individual
civilians. The civilians of Crete got out antique hunting rifles and
went after the Germans in a big way in the early going of the battle,
doing significant damage. Let’s say they kill or capture just
the right person and the German airborne invasion collapses early on.
The British and Greeks hold on to the island. The Germans probably
would not have the capability to try again in the immediate future.
That has surprisingly major implications for the rest of the war.
I’ll probably explore those implications in a later issue.
- Spanish
Republicans win in the Canary
Islands.
Now this
isn’t all that likely unless the Republicans import some
loyal troops before the revolt starts, but let’s say they do.
They beat the Nationalists locally and hold on to power in the islands
throughout the rest of the Spanish Civil War. In early 1939 the Spanish
Republic collapses in mainland Spain, but die-hard Republicans flee to
the Canary Islands, along with the fairly substantial Spanish
Republican navy. The Spanish Nationalists don’t have the sea
power to take the islands by themselves. They would need Italian or
German help. If the Germans or Italians started moving in that
direction though, the British and French would get rather perturbed to
say the least.
The Spanish Nationalists would not be willing to let the Republicans
hold out on the Canaries indefinitely. They would probably build up
their fleet with German and Italian help with an eye toward eventually
invading. Let’s say that the issue festers until the fall of
France in June 1940. At that point Franco might be strongly tempted to
take advantage of British weakness to launch and invasion, presumably
with German and Italian help. The British would have to be extremely
worried about German or Italian bases in the Canaries. Would they
intervene knowing that intervening would probably bring Spain into the
war as a full-fledged ally of the Germans? What affect would that have
on Gibraltar and the rest of British possessions in the Meditteranean?
- Corsica conquered by the
Italians in 1940. Mussolini wanted Corsica,
and actually did briefly take it over in late 1942 after the Germans
occupied Vichy France. The Italians held Corsica until late 1943, when
the Italians left the war and French troops from North Africa helped a
revolt against German occupying forces. Let’s say that Italy
does a quick and sneaky grab for Corsica in June 1940, just before the
French bow out of the war. The Italians get some troops ashore and they
are still holding out there when the armistice is ready to be signed,
though they are cut off by superior French/British naval forces. The
Italians demand the island, and the French are really not in any
position to say no. Does Hitler twist French arms on Italy’s
behalf? Do the French go along and give up the birthplace of Napoleon?
Is this one humiliation too many—a deal-killer that pushes
the French to fight on from their colonies?
- Dogger banks as an
island or islands. The Dogger banks are an
extensive area of very shallow water north of England. What if major
sections of them were just enough higher that they formed the Dogger
islands rather than the Dogger banks? To be honest, I suspect that all
of human history would diverge in a major way due to various butterfly
affects, but I can’t think of any specific scenario. There
was a major World War I sea battle near the Dogger banks. The British
had a good shot at bagging most or all of the German battle-cruiser
fleet, but blew it due to communication problems. Assuming that there
still was an England and a Germany, I wonder how a Dogger Island would
affect that battle.
- Extra-large Easter Island.
Easter Island is a fascinating place,
with the remnants of a very strange culture. The most spectacular of
those remnants are the huge statues that the islanders built and then
toppled. The island itself is a flea-speck on the maps, ecologically
extremely fragile due to that small size, and not really large enough
to sustain the kind of culture that once existed there. Let’s
say that the island was a little bit bigger—just enough
larger that the Polynesians who settled there don’t have
enough time to totally destroy the ecology before European contact.
Somewhere along the line, Spanish, Portuguese, or Dutch sailors
discover a still-flourishing Easter Island culture and describe it,
shortly before they spread European diseases that pretty much destroy
it. What impact does that have, if any? Just one less phony mystery for
the guy that wrote ‘Chariots of the Gods”? An
earlier European exploration and conquest of the Pacific islands
sparked by popular fascination with the Easter Islanders?
- Fort Sumter not an
issue at the beginning of the Civil War. Okay, I
know this is stretching the whole island theme, but Fort Sumter was on
an island, and I did want to get in at least one US Civil War scenario.
There are several ways that we could go with this one. South Carolina
actually built Fort Sumter and the other forts near Charleston, but
later gave them to the Federal government. What if the state government
kept the forts, or never built them, or leased them? Or what if South
Carolina’s militia caught the federal troops while they were
attempting to move from a vulnerable fort on the mainland to Fort
Sumter in late 1860? If you remove Fort Sumter as a flashpoint you
might delay the Civil War by a month or two, though there were enough
other flashpoints that it would be difficult to avoid war altogether,
especially since the leadership of both the confederate states and the
union felt that compromise was unthinkable.
- Flinders island
humans survive. Okay, this is an odd one. Flinders
Island is between Australia and Tasmania. During ice ages it is part of
a peninsula connecting Australia and Tasmania. When sea levels rose
after the last ice age, a small group of people were apparently trapped
on the island. They and their descendants survived there for several
thousand years, then died out several thousand years before Europeans
reached the area. This is a small enough island that it would have
supported no more than around 300 people at the technological level of
the time and area. That small of a population is very vulnerable to a
host of problems, among them inbreeding and the impact of just one bad
year climate-wise. It’s not surprising that the population
died out, but it was kind of a luck of the draw thing. If they had been
extremely lucky, the population might have survived long enough for the
Europeans to find and exterminate them in the 1600s or slightly
thereafter. That doesn’t really do much for us, but if
accounts of their life-style and culture survived or even some genetic
material it would be scientifically fascinating. We don’t
know what happens when you isolate that small of a population for that
long and it would be interesting to find out.
- Flores
‘hobbits’ survive. To be honest I
think
that this is unlikely, though they did apparently get wiped out or
nearly so by a volcanic eruption around 12,000 years ago. If they
hadn’t been destroyed then I suspect that they would have
been destroyed by one of the waves of human conquerors that have flowed
through the area of Indonesia over the last several thousand years. If
some little pocket of them did manage to survive on Flores long enough
to be discovered by Europeans, what impact would that have on the way
Europeans looked at the world? I suppose that really depends on when
the Europeans discovered them. In the 1600s? In the mid-1800s? Later?
What if the fossil remains of the hobbits had been discovered
earlier—maybe in the early 1900s? What would scientists then
have thought of them? Missing link? Side-branch? How would that have
influenced the development of the study of human ancestors.
- Greater Galapagos.
Let’s say that the Galapagos Islands were somewhat
bigger than they actually are—maybe twice their actual size.
What impact would that have? Do the native animals develop even more
spectacular forms? Do the islands attract human colonists? If so, the
bulk of the native animals would almost certainly be wiped out, with
the potential for a huge impact on western thought. Would Darwin still
come up with the theory of evolution if the animals of the Galapagos
were already for the most part wiped out? Where would the first
settlers come from? Polynesia? South America? Both? Would the two
cultures (Polynesians and South American Indians swap technology and
ideas? What would the impact of that be?
- Battle
of Guadalcanal
goes
differently. There a lot of ways we can
go with this one. If the Japanese had moved a little quicker they could
have built up enough that the US couldn’t have gotten onto
the island without a bigger fight than we were ready for at the time.
They could also have hit us harder in the early going with naval power.
At one point two Japanese battleships absolutely devastated US airpower
on the island. A bigger, nastier bombardment might have allowed the
Japanese to actually take the island in the early going. What impact
would those possibilities have on the rest of the war? They could have
had some significant ripple affects. The US effort in Guadalcanal did
have some impact on the US buildup for the invasion of North Africa. If
Guadalcanal went differently, we might see that invasion happen earlier
or later, which would have some impact as far away as the area around
Stalingrad. The German response to the allied invasion of North Africa
stripped away reserves, and especially air power and air transports
from the eastern front. Change the timing of that and things could go
very differently on the Eastern front.
- A
different colonizing power for Hawaii.
We could go a lot of ways
on this one. The Spanish could have discovered and conquered the
islands early on. The English might have moved in sometime in the early
to mid 1800s. The Japanese might well have moved in if we
didn’t. The Germans might have even controlled them up until
World War I, and then seen the Japanese take over like they took so
many other German Pacific colonies. How would any of those scenarios
change the setting for World War II?
- ‘Hobbits’
in Australia. The recently discovered
fossils of small primitive humans in Flores mean that very primitive
and very early humans could cross at least small stretches of ocean,
since Flores has never been connected to the Asian mainland.
Let’s say that the Flores hobbits were somewhat better at
crossing oceans than they apparently were, and that they manage to get
to Australia fairly early on—maybe by 700,000 years ago. What
would the implications of that be? I’m probably going to
explore this in more depth later.
- Island Italy remains an island.
Now this takes some explanation.
During the Miocene, the islands of Sardinia and Corsica, along with
part of the adjacent Italian mainland, was an island for quite some
time. This island developed it’s own unique and fascinating
group of animals, including a three-foot tall ape that walked around on
it’s hind legs. This was an independent development that had
nothing to do with the human ancestry, but it was a fascinating animal
in its own right. When the island reconnected with the mainland, all of
the unique animals quickly died out. So, could they have somehow been
preserved? Not easily. The Mediterranean sea dried up entirely around
this time if I recall correctly, so we would have to do some fairly
major rearrangement of geography to make this happen. Any ideas on how
that could have worked out, or on what impact it would have had?
- The IRA allies with
Hitler. Actually, the Irish Republican army had
temporarily spent itself at the beginning of World War II, and
wasn’t able to do much while the British were preoccupied
with Hitler. What if they had been active in the early days of World
War II or in the months leading up to it? What if any impact would that
have had on World War II?
- Ireland gains its independence earlier
or later than it
did
historically. An independent Ireland as a result of the
war that led to
US independence? Not impossible. All of Ireland still held by the
British at the start of World War II? Also not impossible. What would
the impact of each of those scenarios be?
- British
Indian
Ocean fleet
annihilated by the Japanese. During the
first half of 1942, the Japanese were riding high after a series of
easy victories. They did a carrier raid into the Indian Ocean. The
British fleet was no match for the Japanese and hid out at a remote
island harbor (which is where the island in all of this comes in). What
if the Japanese had found the British fleet and forced it to do battle?
Chances are very high that the British would have been beaten and
possibly even essentially annihilated. At that point, the British have
at least temporarily lost control of the Indian Ocean. What impact does
that have on the rest of the war?
- Japan
doesn’t renounce firearms. The Japanese were
almost
unique in adopting a militarily useful weapon (the musket), using it
extensively, and then essentially abandoning it while it was still
militarily useful. It took a peculiar set of personalities and
circumstances to make that happen. What would it have taken for the
Japanese to continue making and using firearms? What would the
consequences have been? Japanese firearms were actually quite good by
contemporary European standards when they abandoned them. Would they
have continued to produce weapons at or even above European quality if
they had continuedproducing guns? Could they have even accelerated the
development of
more advanced guns? What would the impact of all of this be, if any?
- Japanese militarist
coup succeeds in 1940. Shortly after the fall
of France, a faction of Japanese militarists decided that it was time
to take advantage of the weakness of the west. They tried to take over
the Japanese government, apparently with the goal of coming into the
war on Germany’s side and picking up some
spoils—the same idea that Mussolini had. Let’s say
they succeed and Japan enters World War II on the Axis side in the
summer of 1940. What are the implications of that? I may look at this
one in more depth later in this issue or in a future issue.
- Kangaroo Island
humans or marsupial wolves survive. This is pretty
much the same situation as the one on Flinders Island. Humans
were
isolated on an island off the coast of Australia at the end of the ice
age. They survived there for thousands of years, then died out. The
island was apparently too small for a viable human population to
sustain itself over enough thousands of years. It was also apparently
too small for marsupial wolves to survive long term. Let’s
say that one of the two species gets lucky and is still around when
European settlers arrive. Probably about the same set of possible
outcomes as with Flinders island.
- What
would it take to make the Loch
Ness Monster real? What
I’m after here is a full-fledged marine lizard from the age
of the dinosaurs living in a lake on a European island that has been
covered or nearly covered by glaciers a large hunk of the last million
years. And of course this needs to be in a world as close to ours as
you can get. I can’t even start to come up with a scenario
that comes close to that. Can you?
- Melville Island Marsupial
Wolf.
Most of you are probably at least
vaguely aware of the Tasmanian Wolf,
(also called Thylacine) a recently (1936) extinct carnivore which
looked and acted a lot like a wolf, but was actually related to possums
and kangaroos. They were probably driven to extinction on the mainland
of Australian when Australian aborigines brought in Dingos a few
thousand years ago. Tasmanian Wolves survived until more recently in
Tasmania because Tasmania became an island before the Dingo arrived.
The Tasmanian Wolf was killed off along with the original humans of
Tasmania after European settlers arrived. Melville Island north of
Australia is another fairly sizable island that was cut off from
Australia before dingoes arrived. Unlike Flinders Island and Kangaroo
Island, Melville Island supported a cut-off group of humans until after
Europeans arrived. What if Thylacines had survived on Melville Island?
Let’s say that a small surviving population is discovered
shortly after World War II on Melville Island. What implications if any
would that have?
- Madagascar Mega-fauna
lemurs
survive.
Madagascar is home to a rich
group of primitive monkey-like creatures called lemurs. Unfortunately,
a lot of the largest, most spectacular, and scientifically interesting
lemurs died out since humans colonized the island around 2000 years
ago. The extinctions came in waves, with the most vulnerable animals
dying out early and with a substantial subset of the animals still
around by 1200 or even 1500 AD, including some large ground-dwelling
species that were somewhat convergent on Baboons. What would it take
for those lemurs that almost survived to make it? Maybe a human
epidemic like smallpox that reduced hunting pressure on the lemurs for
a while and let populations rebuild. The lemurs who survived long
enough to take advantage of the respite would presumably be more wary
than the original population, so they might be able to survive given
that kind of a break. So, what kind of impact would finding a bunch
more lemurs have on world? Probably not very much outside of the
scientific community. Scientifically they would probably be
fascinating.
- Mussolini munches Malta.
For a short period right after
the fall of
France, Italy had a window of opportunity to pick off British colonies
in the Mediterranean and the vicinity. British forces were recovering
from their defeat in France, and most of the available forces were tied
up defending Britain itself. Fortunately for the British, the Italians
dissipated what little strength they had doing things like sending
Italian planes to fight in the Battle of Britain. The planes that had a
minuscule impact there could have been a potent addition to Italian
strength in the Mediterranean. Could the Italians have taken Malta if
they had concentrated their forces on doing that in the immediate
aftermath of the fall of France? They would have at least had a shot at
it. What impact would that have had on the rest of the war? Quite a
bit, probably. British forces in Malta tied up a lot of Italian and
German airpower in 1941 and 1942, and did a real number on Axis
logistics in North Africa.
- The US
loses at Midway.
This has been done a gazillion
times, but I
haven’t seen a scenario that looks at the impact a defeat
there would have had outside the Pacific theatre. I’m
planning to try that kind of a scenario in the next couple of issues.
- New
Providence holds
out against the Spanish.
In the 1640s, the
Puritans tried to plant a colony on an island off the coast of
Nicaragua. The colony lasted for several years before the Spanish
attacked and destroyed it. New Providence was gearing up to receive a
fairly major influx of colonists from New England at the time, at it
may well have become too strong for the Spanish to easily get rid of if
they had waited a bit longer before attacking. The British would have
probably used New Providence as a base for further operations against
Spanish colonies in Central America, and against Spanish shipping. As
Spain’s power declined in the later 1600s, New Providence
would be valuable as the British tried to exploit that weakness. What
impact would New Providence have on the weakening Spanish hold on its
empire?
- Independent
Okinawa
after World
War II. What
would it take? Okinawa
used to be part of an independent Kingdom of the Ryukyus before Japan
took over. Is there any way it could maintain its independence or
develop an independence movement that would lead to restoration of
independence after World War II.
- The US
holds out in the Philippines
at the
start of World War II.
US plans had long been based on
the fact that the Philippines as a
whole were indefensible in case of a war with Japan. The US had long
planned to hole up on the Bataan peninsula and try to hold out until
the US Navy fought its way through the Pacific and to the rescue.
Douglas MacArthur decided to try to defend all of Mindanao. He ended up
with the worst of both worlds—pushed back into Bataan
peninsula, but without enough food and ammunition to hold out long
enough for the navy to come to the rescue. Let’s say he
sticks with the original plan and pre-positions enough food and
ammunition that US forces are still holding the Bataan peninsula in
July 1942. What happens next? Does the US run into a situation where
they politically have to try a rescue effort in the fall of 1942? What
impact would not doing that have on the 1942 mid-term elections? What
would happen if the US did try a rescue effort in the second half of
1942? (As some of you remember, I explored some of these ideas in more
depth in a scenario where Hitler didn’t declare war on the
US.
- Japanese
earthquake
comes later. (Yeah
it’s a stretch. If
you can do better with “Q”, feel free.) In the
1923, Tokyo and the surrounding area experienced a devastating
earthquake. The quake killed around 140,000 people and destroyed large
parts of Tokyo and surrounding areas. What if that earthquake had come
later—say in the summer of 1937 when the tensions that led
the Japanese to wage all-out war on China were building up? With an
extra almost 14 years for the stresses to build up, the 1937 earthquake
would have probably been even more devastating. It would have almost
certainly delayed all-out war between Japan and China for at least a
few months. Would that have been enough to short-circuit the whole war?
Probably not, though with winter coming on in northern China, it might
have delayed the start of hostilities until the spring of 1938. That
would give the Chinese Nationalists an additional 6 to 8 months to
train and prepare for war. It would also give tensions between the
Japanese and the Soviets over disputed border areas in Manchuria more
time to fester. The Japanese might end up fighting the Soviets rather
than the Chinese in 1938 and 1939. Historically there were several
major battles between the Soviets and the Japanese along that border.
The Soviets won most of those battles, partly though not entirely
because the Japanese had a lot of troops tied down in China. How do you
think this would have all played out? A Soviet/Japanese war in
1938/1939? Just a later Japanese invasion of China?
- British
attack
Italian-held Rhodes
(Eastern Mediterranean near Turkey) in late 1940 or
early 1941. What
if the British had gone after Rhodes to
take the
pressure off of Greece instead of committing troops to the Greek
mainland? It would have probably been a better move, assuming that the
Italian defenses weren’t too strong. Given the usual state of
Italian military preparations that’s probably a reasonably
safe assumption. Rhodes could then be used as a base for attacking the
other Italian-held islands in the Eastern Mediterranean, with a goal of
eventually threatening the German position in the Balkans and/or
convincing Turkey to come into the war on the Allied side.
- Subhuman Slave Soldiers
of Sardinia.That’s
a perfect
title for a bad pulp story or an awful 1950s science fiction movie. I
can also think of a plausible alternate history way to make it happen,
but I think I'll develop the scenario a bit more before I spring it on
you.
- Britain
saves Singapore.
The British didn’t have to lose
Singapore in early 1942. They had plenty of resources to stop the
Japanese, certainly before they took the city. What if British
commanders had used their resources more effectively and stopped that
Japanese short of the city? What impact does that have on the rest of
World War II?
- The
French take Taiwan
in
the 1880s. The French and Chinese fought
a war primarily over Indochina in 1884-85. The French tried to grab
Taiwan, but were defeated by a particularly vigorous Chinese governor.
What if they had been successful in taking Taiwan? How would that have
affected the history of the area in the twentieth century? Japan
couldn’t have taken Taiwan without a war with France, which
they probably wouldn’t have tried until at least 1940. This
could get interesting. How would a French colony in Taiwan affect the
Sino-Japanese war? If France fell to the Germans on schedule, would
French Taiwan go Free French of Vichy? The Japanese would want to take
advantage of French weakness to take the colony, but given the
proximity to the Philippines, would the US let them get away with that?
A Japanese attempt to take it might be seen as a threat to the
Philippines, and the Japanese might decide that taking Taiwan would
have to be part of an all-out war with the US.
- United States
fortifies Guam before World War II.
Yes, that's another stretch. I can't think of
anything else
for 'U' though. This could actually be a pretty good
scenario.
Guam was deep inside the Japanese Pacific mandates, but it
was
held by the US at the beginning of World War II. The US
agreed
not to fortify Guam as part of the Washington Naval Treaties.
After the Japanese renounced those treaties, there was some
talk
in the military about fortifying Guam, but Congress thought doing that
would be too provocative. The Japanese built up overwhelming
forces in nearby islands, and when war broke out in the Pacific, they
quickly took Guam from a tiny US garrison. Guam was
potentially
strategic. If the US built a major base there and held it,
getting a US fleet to the Philippines in the event of a war
with
Japan would have been much easier. On the other hand, Guam
was
far enough away from any other US-held islands that it would have taken
a major logistic effort to keep it supplied, especially given the
Japanese-held chains of islands between Guam and Hawaii.
- Vikings on
Newfoundland? It’s been done. Can’t
think of anything original to say about it, but at least that covers
“V”.
- Wrangel Island dwarf
mammoths survive until they are discovered by
Europeans. Wrangel Island is north of the mainland of
Siberia. Dwarf
mammoths survived there until after the Egyptians started building
pyramids. What if they had made it into the 1700s and been discovered
by the Russians? Would they survive the discovery? What impact if any
would finding these things have on the rest of history?
- Wales remains
independent. What would it take? What impact would it
have on the rest of history?
- West Antarctic
icecap
collapses at the end of the ice age. (Without
the ice cap West Antarctica would be an island, so with a little
stretching and bending this sort of fits). Sea levels worldwide go up
ten to fifteen additional feet. What impact would that have? Huge and
difficult to trace I suspect.
- Admiral
Isoroku Yamamoto
marooned? You may recall that we shot down
and killed the Japanese Admiral behind the Pearl Harbor attack. What if
he had survived marooned on some remote Pacific Island until a year or
two after the war? Alternatively, he’s marooned but both the
US and the Japanese know it and play all kinds of games trying to find
him first.
- And one last stretch: New Zealand’s
Maori’s win
their wars with the European settlers. How could it
happen? What impact
would that have in the rest of the world?
Well,
that’s that. Forty-plus mini-scenarios covering all but one of the
letters of the alphabet. Are there any great original ideas
in there? Well there are a couple that I‘ll probably develop
into full-fledged scenarios. Are there any that I held my nose and put
in there because I couldn’t think of anything better for that
letter? Oh yeah. Overall, was this worth doing? It was for me. I hope
it gave you some worthwhile ideas too. That’s the whole point
of brainstorming—stimulating creativity and building on
ideas.
Comments are
very welcome.
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Copyright
2006 By Dale R. Cozort
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