Ever run across a fact or an
idea and know that it has some kind of Alternate History potential but
you’re not quite sure what to do with it? Here are a few facts or
ideas that I’m going to do something with, but I haven’t figured out
quite what yet.
Dacia survives: In one of
its last conquests, Rome took out the kingdom of Dacia in what is now
Romania. Dacia had been building up a reasonably powerful army
and state, and the Romans feared that growing strength. The
Romans didn’t hold Romania for very long, and their eventual withdrawal
left a vacuum in the area. What if for some reason the Romans
didn’t go after Dacia? Would it become a more and more serious
rival? Would it become a buffer state protecting part of the
Roman border against the barbarians? Would it just disintegrate
after a few decades? Would it conquer one of the halves of the
Roman Empire before the Germanic tribes got a chance to?
Bering Strait Stepping Stones:
What if the Bering Strait wasn’t as formidable a barrier during
interglacials? Give it a couple of additional island stepping
stones that stay above water when the weather warms up. Closing
the strait entirely would muck up the climate too much, although that’s
an alternative to be explored too. Given an island chain that
acts as a series of stepping stones that allow less cold tolerant
animals and maybe men to cross between the Old World and the New, what
changes?
New Madrid Earthquake in 1861:
New Madrid earthquake (massive earthquake in the Mississippi valley
with the center in southern Illinois) doesn’t happen in 1811. It
waits fifty years and then really lets loose. Consequences?
Spanish California in the 1580s:
Spain responds to Drake’s visit to California by planting mission
colonies there in the 1580s or 1590s, either in addition to or possibly
in place of their settlement of the Pueblo area about that time?
That means that Spain has almost two hundred additional years in
California. What would the consequences be? How would the
Indians adapt to those settlements? How would the colonies
develop?
Early European Colony on the
Mississippi: A French or English explorer of the mid-1500s
somehow gets information on the DeSoto expedition, reads about the
Mississippi River and thinks that it may be the passage to the Indies
that everyone is looking for. They attempt a colony. It is
unlikely that they would be able to hold on to the area due to the fact
that the Spanish control too many of the passages to get to the area,
but maybe French or English interest pushes the Spanish to plant a
colony at the mouth of the Mississippi River to keep foreigners
out. What are the consequences of that? Some trade goods
and some diseases would undoubtedly spread up the river. On the
other hand, the Spanish of the era were not great traders and were
pretty good at keeping guns out of Indian hands. Would horses
spread to the plains from that colony as well as from Mexico? An
earlier development of plains Indian culture?
DeSoto Plants A Colony:
Speaking of DeSoto, he actually wanted to found a colony among the
large populations of Mississippian Indians he found along parts of the
Mississippi. Unfortunately for him his expedition was too beat up
from previous battles with other Indians to do a conquest of the
desired area. What if DeSoto had managed to avoid a lot of the
earlier battles and actually managed to conquer a heavily populated
stretch of the Mississippi? There wouldn’t be any gold to attract
continued interest, but large Indian populations were a good second
choice for the Spanish.
I’m guessing that any colony wouldn’t last more than five or ten
years. Indians in the area would revolt, run away or die of
disease in droves and eventually there would be too few survivors for
the area to be of any use to the Spanish. On the other hand,
there is some chance that the last stages of the Mississippian Mound
Builder culture would be witnessed and written about, which might have
preserved a bit more information about their culture.
No Holland: Spain
applies the right combination of force and persuasion and is able to
throttle the revolt that led to the formation of Holland before it
really gets going. No Holland as an independent power in the New
World and in Asia. What are the consequences?
Germans Have a Tougher FIght in
Norway: Historically Norway didn’t mobilize its army until the
German attack of 1940 was already underway, and then they inexplicably
went for a partial mobilization, which meant mailing mobilization
notices. Let’s say Norway mobilizes its army in response to the
worrying international situation, starting two days before the German
invasion in 1940 and is on high alert when the Germans arrive.
Norway doesn’t have a very big or very modern army, but at least it
gets a chance to inflict the maximum possible damage on the
Germans. What are the consequences of that?
The Germans Don't Go Into Norway:
Speaking of Norway, let’s say that Hitler decides that the invasion of
Norway is an unnecessary distraction from the planned invasion of
France. Germany would have a lot more of a navy for any attempt
at invading Britain. They wouldn’t have Norwegian bases for
U-boats or planes, but they also wouldn’t have a lot of German division
tied up in Norway. On the other hand, I suppose that an allied
landing in Norway in late 1942 would be a possibility as an alternative
to landing in North Africa. One other consequence:
Surprisiningly Norway had one of the largest merchant marine fleets in
the world. Historically much of that fleet ended up helping
supply Britain during the Battle of the Atlantic.
A Fragmented Microcomputer Market:
What would it have taken to end up with a microcomputer marketplace
with four or five major players along with several smaller but still
significant ones, each with their own proprietary or incompletely
compatible operating systems? That was the pattern in the
mini-computer industry and to a lesser extent in the mainframe
industry. Could it have repeated in the microcomputer
industry? If it did, would that have any kind of significant
impact outside of the computer industry? Would the Internet and
the World Wide Web still develop on schedule and with approximately the
same pattern? Would it change the way we coped with Y2K?
Would it change anything significant militarily or economically?